Contents
Preface to the Ninth Edition
Preface to the Eighth Edition
In Memoriam
Prefaces to Previous Editions
PART 1: TECHNICAL THEORY
Chapter 1 The Technical Approach to
Trading and Investing
Technical vs. Fundamental Theory - Philosophy of Technical Approach - Drawbacks
of Fundamental Approach
Chapter 2 Charts
Different Types of Charts - Data Required Arithmetic and Logarithmic Scales
Chapter 3 The Dow Theory
The Forerunner of All Technical Theories - Use of Market Averages - Basic Tenets of Dow Theory Characteristic Phases of Bull and Bear Trends
Chapter 4 The Dow Theory in
Practice
Applying Dow Theory to the Averages through 1941 -
The 1942 Action - The Bull Market Signal - The Secondary Correction of 1943 - Bull Market Reaffirmed - The Spring of 1946 - Third Phase Symptoms - The Bear Market Signal
Chapter 5 The Dow Theory's Defects
Second Guessing - The "Too Late" Criticism - The Fifty-Year Record of Results -
Little Help in Intermediate Term Trading
Chapter 5.1 The Dow Theory in the 20th and 21st Centuries
Updating the Record of the Dow - Results to 2005Reconsidering Dow Theory
Chapter 6 Important Reversal Patterns
Divergence between Individual Stocks and Averages Definition of Reversal and Reversal Formation - Time Required to Build - How Insiders Distribute - The Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern - Volume Characteristics - Breaking the Neckline - Symmetry
and Variations - Measuring Formula
Chapter 7 Important Reversal Patterns - Continued
Head-and-Shoulders Bottoms - Volume and Breakout Differences - Multiple Head-and-Shoulders Patterns Rounding Tops and Bottoms - Trading Activity on Rounding Turns - Dormant Bottoms - Patterns on Weekly and Monthly Charts
Chapter 8 Important Reversal Patterns - The Triangles
Triangles - The Symmetrical Form - Volume - How Prices Break Out - A Theoretical Example - Reversal
or Consolidation - Right Angle Triangles, Ascending
and Descending - Measuring Implications - On Weekly and Monthly Charts
Chapter 9 Important Reversal Patterns - Continued
Rectangles - Pool Taches - Relation to Dow Line Double and Triple Tops and Bottoms - Important Recognition Criteria - Completion and Breakout Triple Tops and Bottoms
Chapter 10 Other Reversal Phenomena
Broadening Formations - The Broadening Top Right-Angles Broadening Patterns - Diamonds Wedge Formations - The Falling Wedge - Rising Wedges in Bear Market Rallies - The One-Day Reversal - Selling Climax
Chapter 10.1 Short-Term Phenomena of Potential Importance
Key Reversal Days - Spikes - Runaways
Chapter 11 Consolidation Formations
Flags and Pennants - Pennant vs. Wedge - Measuring Formula - Reliability Tests for Flags and Pennants -
On Weekly and Monthly Charts - Head-andShoulders Consolidations - Scallops and Saucers Modern vs. Old-Style Markets
Chapter 12 Gaps
Which Gaps Are Significant? - Common or Area Gaps - Breakaway Gaps Continuation or Runaway Gaps - Measuring Implications - Exhaustion Gaps Island Reversals - Gaps in the Averages
Chapter 13 Support and Resistance
Definition of Support and Resistance Levels - How They Reverse Their Roles -
Reasons for Support/Resistance Phenomena - Tests for Determining Potential -
Importance of Volume Rules for Locating - Implications of a Breakthrough Round
Figures - Historical Levels - Panic Moves and Recoveries - Pattern Resistance -
Support-Resistance
in the Averages
Chapter 14 Trendlines and Channels
Basic Trendlines - How They Form - Arithmetic vs. Logarithmic Scale -
Intermediate Uptrends - Tests for Trendline Authority - Validity of Penetration
Throwback Moves - Amendment of Trendlines Double Trendlines - Trend Channels -
Practices to Avoid - Consequences of Penetration - Intermediate Downtrends -
Corrective Trends - The Fan Principle
Chapter 15
Major Trendlines
Different Forms of Major Uptrends - Arithmetic and Logarithmic Scaling - Tests
for Significance - Major Downtrends - Major Trend Channels - Trendlines in
the Averages
Chapter 15.1 Trading the Averages in the 21st Century
Power of Trendlines in Trading the Averages Redrawing the Trendlines as Markets Accelerate
Chapter 16
Technical Analysis of Commodity Charts
Theoretical Application - Commodity Markets of the
20th (and 21st) Century Suitable for Technical Trading
- Intrinsic Differences Between Stocks and Commodities as Trading Mediums
Chapter 16.1 Technical Analysis of Commodity Charts, Part 2
A 215t Century Perspective
Chapter 17 A Summary and Some
Concluding Comments
Philosophy of Technical Approach -
Review of Technical Methods - Need for Perspective - Patience
Chapter 17.1 Technical Analysis and Technology in the 21st Century: The Computer and the Internet, Tools of the Investment! Information Revolution
The Computer and the Internet - Tools of the Investment/Information Revolution - Separating the Wheat from the Chaff
Chapter 17.2 Advancements in Investment Technology
Options and Derivatives - Quantitative Analysis Futures on Indexes - Options on Futures and Indexes - Modern Portfolio Theory - Importance to the Private Investor
PART 1: TRADING TACTICS
Midword
Chapter 18 The Tactical Problem
Characteristics of Desirable Speculative Stocks
Chapter 18.1 Strategy and Tactics for the Long-Term Investor
What's a Speculator, What's an Investor? - Strategy of
the Long-term Investor (Hypothetical) - Rhythmic Investing
Chapter 19 The All-Important Details
Source of Data - Suggestions on Chart Keeping Using Computer Technology
Chapter 20 The Kind of Stocks We Want - The Speculator's Viewpoint
Leverage - Swing Habit - Volatility
Chapter 20.1 The Kind of Stocks We Want - The Long-Term
Investor's Viewpoint
Changing Opinions about Conservative Investing Index Shares and Similar Instruments - Importance of Modern Trading Instruments
Chapter 21
Selection of Stocks to Chart
Character and habits — Number — Advantages of Listed Issues
Chapter 22 Selection of Stocks to
Chart - Continued
Diversification - Price Range - Swing Power within Groups - Slow-Moving Groups
Chapter 23 Choosing and Managing High-Risk Stocks: Tulip
Stocks, Internet Sector, and Speculative Frenzies
Managing Speculative Frenzies and Runaways
Chapter 24 The Probable Moves of Your
Stocks
Choosing Stocks which Have the Potential to Move Volatility
Chapter 25
Two Touchy Questions
Use of Margin - Short Selling
Chapter 26
Round Lots or Odd Lots?
Extra Cost of Odd Lots - Occasional Advantages Determining Trade Size and Risk
Chapter 27 Stop Orders
Protective Stops - Computing Stop Levels - Table of Stop Distances - Progressive Stops
Chapter 28
What Is a Bottom - What Is a Top?
The Three Days Away Rule - Basing Points - Volume Signals
Chapter 29
Trendlines in Action
Buying Stock - Selling Long Stock - Selling Stock Short - Covering Short Sales -
Additional Suggestions
Chapter 30
Use of Support and Resistance
Formulating a Rule for Buying - When a Support Fails
- Placing Stop Orders - Software for Determining Support-Resistance
Chapter 31
Not All in One Basket
Diversification - Its Cost and Benefits - Trading Index Shares
Chapter 33
Tactical Review of Chart Action
Dow Theory - Head-and-Shoulders - Multiple Headand-Shoulders - Rounding Tops
and Bottoms Triangles - Broadening Tops - Rectangles - Double
Tops and Bottoms - Diamonds - Wedges - One-Day Reversals - Flags and Pennants - Gaps - Support
and. Resistance - Trendlines
Chapter 34 A Quick Summation of
Tactical Methods
When to Get Out - When to Get In
Chapter 35 Effect of Technical
Trading on Market Action
Many Types of Investors - Technicians a Minority Group - Persistence of
Ingrained Evaluative Habits
Chapter 36 Automated Trendline: The
Moving Average
Sensitizing Moving Averages - Crossovers and Penetrations
Chapter 37 "The Same Old Patterns"
Repetitive Character of Market Behavior Over the Years - Additional Chart
Examples Covering Market Action up through 2005
Chapter 38
Balanced and Diversified
The "Not All" Principle - The Evaluative Index Reducing Risk and Anxiety -
Identifying Bull and Bear Market Tops and Bottoms with the Magee Evaluative
Index
Chapter 39
Trial and Error
Putting Experience to Work
Chapter 40 How Much Capital to Use in Trading
Chapter 41 Application of Capital in
Practice
Using Composite Leverage According to the Market's Condition - Overall Strategy
Chapter 42
Portfolio Risk Management
Finding the Sensible Risk Posture - Overtrading and Undertrading - Controlling
Risk per Trade - Risk of
a Single Stock - Risk of a Portfolio - Pragmatic Portfolio Theory - Pragmatic Portfolio Risk Measurement - Pragmatic Portfolio Analysis - The Magee Method of Controlling the Risk
Chapter 43 Stick to Your Guns
APPENDIX A Chapters A-D
Chapter A The Probable Moves of Your Stocks
(Chapter 24 from the Seventh Edition)
Relative Sensitivity - The Market Reciprocal- Normal Range-for- Price-Vola tility
Chapter B A Discussion of Composite Leverage
(Chapter 42 from the Seventh Edition)
Overtrading and a Paradox - The Composite Leverage Index of a Single Stock - Composite Leverage of a Portfolio - Investment Account Policy - Negative Composite Leverage
Chapter C Normal Range-for-Price Indexes
(Appendix B, Fifth Edition)
Chapter D Sensitivity Indexes of Stocks
(Appendix C, Fifth Edition)
Appendix B
Section 1: The Mechanics of Building a Chart (Chapter 23 from the Fifth and Seventh Editions) Section 2: TEKNIPLAT Chart Paper
Appendix C Technical Analysis of Futures Charts (Chapter 16 from the Seventh Edition by Richard Mc:Dermott)
Applications for the Use of Chart Patterns and Other Indicators in the Trading of Futures/Derivatives Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Stochastics, and Others
Appendix D Resources
Important Internet Sites - References for Further Study - Investment Oriented Sites - The Sharpe Ratio Calculating Volatility - Gambler's Ruin - Essence of Fundamental Analysis - Useful Software and Specific Internet Technical Analysis Sites
Appendix E Example of Trading Manual: Original Turtle Trading Systems and Procedures
List of Illustrations and Text Diagrams
Index of Charts by Stock Name
Glossary
Bibliography
Index